Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 32.114532 36.585049 41.479036 47.238471 53.836666 61.166303 69.935402
2024-12-22 26.403202 32.345764 39.355303 48.249804 59.260361 72.475301 89.588348
2024-12-29 22.888789 29.938327 38.833745 50.922013 66.985275 87.687023 116.536671
2025-01-05 19.455866 27.038869 37.225549 51.983609 72.943887 101.834034 145.002220
2025-01-12 16.114944 23.692941 34.483688 51.082400 76.179890 113.041396 171.898586
2025-01-19 13.649628 21.159781 32.457871 50.852881 80.375093 126.452961 204.878145
2025-01-26 12.187491 19.877511 32.073516 53.050889 88.723055 147.799270 254.846703
2025-02-02 11.067871 18.945242 32.083671 55.902744 98.727239 173.831038 318.466276
2025-02-09 9.804111 17.556197 31.109217 56.925070 105.843920 196.422640 381.279634
2025-02-16 8.457726 15.792717 29.190860 55.918055 109.122554 212.804495 436.348735
2025-02-23 7.358390 14.296032 27.506690 55.046369 112.515982 230.147505 497.576827
2025-03-02 6.453895 13.020324 26.029161 54.313662 116.068433 248.589537 565.718244
2025-03-09 5.797613 12.155943 25.274142 55.058292 123.195574 276.752594 664.366500
2025-03-16 5.171093 11.247602 24.279158 55.119023 128.909273 303.250275 766.689597
2025-03-23 4.788906 10.802689 24.205821 57.265161 140.001744 344.985480 919.100006
2025-03-30 4.333148 10.113916 23.471736 57.729198 147.184701 379.025502 1061.502128
2025-04-06 3.812708 9.184862 22.021601 56.159325 148.908951 399.646897 1173.145017
2025-04-13 3.414499 8.482200 20.993245 55.465738 152.837177 427.218974 1313.714257
2025-04-20 3.203305 8.210688 20.991785 57.511024 164.866720 480.598461 1550.702732
2025-04-27 3.044221 8.046537 21.240161 60.313661 179.809049 546.484342 1850.002216
2025-05-04 2.817129 7.662022 20.836238 61.179660 189.209830 598.054614 2118.396206
2025-05-11 2.534695 7.077360 19.781806 59.908018 191.690076 628.398169 2321.983469
2025-05-18 2.292402 6.565956 18.848403 58.827094 194.593058 661.118803 2546.532512